Why Are We Opposing Assad?

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Commander Abu Sakkar, heart eater and next leader of a radical Syria? Why do we support him and oppose a secular and stable Assad?

Clusivius

The civil war in Syria drags on somehow, and the degenerate Western nations more and more blatantly support and supply those who would destroy the West if only they could, while Russia, Iran, and (to a lesser extent) China are supplying the secular government of President Bashar al-Assad to an unknown degree.

What is keeping the West from invading outright?  Assad has threatened to unleash chemical weapons against invading outsiders, a wise move on his part, while vowing to refrain from using them against the domestic rebels.  The squishy Western leaders keep bleating for peace while fueling the war, and they grow frustrated that this war drags on. Their attempts to frame Assad for use of WMD’s have so far failed to convince their increasingly cynical publics, who still remember those non-existent Iraqi WMD’s that provided the excuse to invade Iraq.  Of course Assad won’t use such weapons as long as he can hope to survive.

The more significant question here is why does the West oppose Assad and support the Islamist rebels?  On one level the Syrian Civil War is a proxy war for Iran, Russia, and China against the West.  Since the West supports the rebels, these three countries and their allies support Assad.  If we had supported Assad (which would make more sense), then Russia and China might have supported the rebels instead.

On another level, the West itches to attack Iran, but the Syrian conflict puts a damper on this invasion because of Syria’s direct threat to Israel.  If Israel and the West are attacking Iran, Syria could hit Israel with chemical weapons and weaken the strikes on Iran.  The West would still win these wars, but at a much higher cost monetarily and diplomatically.

But still, why oppose Assad?  Why seek to overthrow a secular government in order to replace it with a radical Muslim government that will threaten the West just as much and probably even more?  The answer lies in Assad’s refusal to play along with the Western social and political agendas.  The Western elites really wanted Syria to fall like the handful of other Middle Eastern governments fell in 2011’s Arab Spring, but Assad has managed to defy them this whole time.

The elites who long ago hijacked the West use revolutions to destroy traditional, conservative governments that would resist their agendas.  Monarchies fall, radical revolutionary governments replace them and bring war or further revolution, then in turn new, socially liberal, seemingly democratic but in-fact Western-controlled governments replace the radical systems.  By then, the old elites are gone, then the radicals are eradicated, and finally the old bastions of societal strength end up destroyed or discredited, leaving only individual consumers who owe allegiance to no one but themselves.  Such people are easy to control.

In this great chess game, all of the monarchies of the Middle East will ultimately fall, and their radical, Jihadist replacements will fall as well.  The survivors will gladly accept the individual consumer society that the West promises, free from religion, traditions, responsibility, and any meaningful liberty.

Patulcius

Or maybe the West opposes the Assad regime because it has, since at least the 1970’s, maintained such warm relations with Russia.

In 1971, Syria agreed to host a Soviet naval base at Tartus, a base that Russia continues to maintain.  The two countries have maintained close economic and diplomatic relations as well.  As the threat of war with Russia and China grows, the West seeks to overthrow the Assad government to try to deny Russia a strategic naval base in the eastern Mediterranean.

The security of Israel is another factor.  One can argue about whether Jewish Israel should exist as a country or not, but the fact remains that Israel does exist, and it represents an outpost of the West in the Middle East, and Israel remains a close, if unofficial, ally of the United States.  Without US support, Israel’s enemies would likely wipe that country out, with millions of Jews massacred and probably millions of their opponents killed with them.  To prevent this outcome, the West must intervene in the Middle East whether it wants to or not.

It is interesting to compare the Syrian Civil War with that of the Spanish Civil War of 1936 to 1939.  In that case, the Fascist powers supported Nationalist rebels against the Republican government backed by the West and the Soviet Union.  Neither side wanted to risk sending in troops directly because of a prevailing fear of igniting another ‘Great War’.  Ultimately, despite much effort by the West, the Nationalists won the Civil War.  Francisco Franco’s exhausted Fascist Spain stayed neutral in World War II and therefore managed to survive as an anachronism until Franco’s death in 1975.

Like Franco, it looks more and more as if President Assad could survive a prolonged Western opposition to his side because of his Russian support.  If Assad survives, Russia will retain a valuable naval base in the Mediterranean.

Concorditas

So should we citizens of the Western nations support our country’s military intervention against Assad?

World War with Russia and China is not yet inevitable.  During much of the Cold War, when tensions sometimes ran very high, Russia maintained its naval base at Tartus in Syria.  Is the Russian threat any greater today than it was in the 70’s and 80’s?  The indirect threat to Israel is admittedly greater (because of a nuclear Iran), but an Islamist Syria would meet or exceed the threat posed by Assad’s government.  Our support for the Syrian rebels only raises tensions in the region and in the world.

We should oppose Western intervention in the Syrian Civil War.

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  1. Reblogged this on Brittius.com.

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